Whoa. Whoa. Could 2012 be predicted more divergently? The Mayans tell me that doomsday will strike in the middle of last-minute Christmas shopping at Target. The Chinese are telling me its the luckiest year in the Zodiac. Well, the Chinese are scheduled for an booming economy in the next century. The Mayans were subdued by Spain in the seventeenth century. I am also writing a thesis, graduating from a master’s program, and getting married in 2012–and don’t want my last moments on this planet to be spent in a Target. The following artistic rendition articulates which civilization I’m supporting:
As an American interested in diplomacy, what an appropriate year to lean toward such a colossal country–on February 27, American and Chinese officials and citizens alike will celebrate forty years of joint efforts to work toward diplomatic relations. As part of the Josef Korbel School’s Public Diplomacy Speaker Series, we welcomed Mike Chinoy to Denver this past week. Mr. Chinoy has contributed immensely to the development of U.S.-China Relations through his work as CNN Beijing Bureau Chief from 1987-1995, winning the Emmy and Peabody Awards for his coverage of Tiananmen Square in 1989. Mr. Chinoy visited with students and promoted his multi-part documentary Assignment China, which offers a glimpse into the process of American reporting on China over the last forty years. He previewed the chapter “The Week That Changed the World,” highlighting the experiences of America’s first reporters and media personalities who accompanied President Nixon to China in 1972. The film is an incredible achievement–a major contribution to the archives of the complex U.S.-China diplomacy.
As someone whose regional focus lies in the Middle East, the film’s subject matter captivated me–America’s China conversation is another example of the awe, interest, and fear that dominate our perceptions of a region unexplored by the American masses. For example, a decade ago my high school economics teacher put up a trend analysis of the Chinese and U.S. economies. As we went into the future, China’s rising economy intersected with the declining U.S. line. He pointed to that intersection and claimed that this indicated a future conflict with China. That was the image of China provided to me as a teenager: a competitor and inevitable enemy. No doubt China possesses a set of norms that can fluster our Government, businesses, and active citizens from time to time . . . but we also share a rich political, economic, and cultural exchange. In modern terms, if the United States and China were dating on Facebook, I imagine “it’s complicated” would be the choice description.
And if we are to assume that the Chinese Zodiac is an indicator of the U.S.-China relationship in 2012, it deserves a more nuanced look. According to my deep survey of Google links, the Chinese Zodiac attaches one of five elements–wood,fire, earth, metal, and water–with every dragon year to further explain the behavior of the animal sign. Water is the element attached to the dragon in 2012. The dragon is proud and powerful, but water is viewed as a source of creativity. This particular combination occurs every 60 years, and represents a time in which even the most powerful are willing to listen to the weaker. Let’s hope the Year of the Water Dragon produces a strong alliance and reasonable diplomacy for the U.S.-China relationship. 















